Applicability of ANN Model and CPSOCGSA Algorithm for Multi-Time Step Ahead River Streamflow Forecasting

نویسندگان

چکیده

Accurate streamflow prediction is significant when developing water resource management and planning, forecasting floods, mitigating flood damage. This research developed a novel methodology that involves data pre-processing an artificial neural network (ANN) optimised with the coefficient-based particle swarm optimisation chaotic gravitational search algorithm (CPSOCGSA-ANN) to forecast monthly streamflow. The of Tigris River at Amarah City, Iraq, from 2010 2020, were used build evaluate suggested methodology. performance CPSOCGSA was compared slim mold (SMA) marine predator (MPA). principal findings this are effectively improves quality determines optimum predictor scenario. hybrid CPSOCGSA-ANN outperformed both SMA-ANN MPA-ANN algorithms. offered accurate results coefficient determination 0.91, 100% scattered between agreement limits Bland–Altman diagram. represent further step toward models in hydrology applications.

برای دانلود باید عضویت طلایی داشته باشید

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

Error evolution in multi-step ahead streamflow forecasting for the operation of hydropower reservoirs

hydropower reservoirs Georgia Papacharalampous*, Hristos Tyralis, and Demetris Koutsoyiannis Department of Water Resources and Environmental Engineering, School of Civil Engineering, National Technical University of Athens, Iroon Polytechniou 5, 157 80 Zografou, Greece * Corresponding author, [email protected] Abstract: Multi-step ahead streamflow forecasting is of practical i...

متن کامل

Wavelets in Multi-step-ahead Forecasting

This paper investigates the possibility of obtaining long-into-the-future reliable forecasts of observed nonlinear cyclical phenomena. Unsmoothed monthly sunspot numbers that are characteristically cyclical with nonlinear dynamics as well as their wavelet-transformed and wavelet-denoised series are forecasted through October 2008. The objective is to determine whether modelling wavelet-conversi...

متن کامل

Machine Learning for Multi-step Ahead Forecasting of Volatility Proxies

In finance, volatility is defined as a measure of variation of a trading price series over time. As volatility is a latent variable, several measures, named proxies, have been proposed in the literature to represent such quantity. The purpose of our work is twofold. On one hand, we aim to perform a statistical assessment of the relationships among the most used proxies in the volatility literat...

متن کامل

Multi-step-ahead neural networks for flood forecasting

A reliable flood warning system depends on efficient and accurate forecasting technology. A systematic investigation of three common types of artificial neural networks (ANNs) for multi-stepahead (MSA) flood forecasting is presented. The operating mechanisms and principles of the three types of MSA neural networks are explored: multi-input multi-output (MIMO), multi-input single-output (MISO) a...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Hydrology

سال: 2022

ISSN: ['2330-7609', '2330-7617']

DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/hydrology9100171